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The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline) The lei fell by 2.8% over the six months between february and august 2025, a faster rate of decline. Economic indicator calendar all release times displayed are eastern time note
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The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world. The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declines in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline) About the conference board leading economic index® (lei) and the conference board coincident economic index® (cei) for the global economy
The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle
The cei is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real gdp. The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for china ticked down in september the conference board leading economic index®(lei) for china ticked down by 0.1% in september 2025 to 146.7 (2016=100), after contracting by 0.4% in august The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the uk declined in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the united kingdom contracted by 0.3% in august 2025 to 74.3 (2016=100), after no change in july The lei is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around four months
The ten components of the leading economic index® for japan are Real money supply, m2 + cd money yield spread, (10 year gov bonds minus uncollateralized Overnight rate) stock price index dwelling units started
