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The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline) The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for china ticked down in september the conference board leading economic index®(lei) for china ticked down by 0.1% in september 2025 to 146.7 (2016=100), after contracting by 0.4% in august Economic indicator calendar all release times displayed are eastern time note
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The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world. The conference board takes normalized value of this index as a measure of its contribution to lei The consumer confidence survey® reflects prevailing business conditions and likely developments for the months ahead
This monthly report details consumer attitudes, buying intentions, vacation plans, and consumer expectations for inflation, stock prices, and interest rates
Data are available by age, income, 9 regions, and top 8 states Download additional assets us consumer confidence. About the conference board leading economic index® (lei) and the conference board coincident economic index® (cei) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle
The cei is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real gdp. The lei is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around four months The ten components of the leading economic index® for japan are Real money supply, m2 + cd money yield spread, (10 year gov bonds minus uncollateralized
